Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 88.121309 97.677293 107.420359 118.072321 129.365444 140.957721 153.732508
2026-02-08 70.828996 84.751615 99.596608 116.495003 135.092122 154.835836 177.282950
2026-02-15 59.151692 76.156438 95.059781 117.363429 142.701575 170.354205 202.578699
2026-02-22 51.794044 71.331820 93.878857 121.314342 153.313956 189.018295 231.435350
2026-03-01 44.780617 65.968452 91.328240 123.091419 161.034971 204.207915 256.358859
2026-03-08 37.852163 59.834289 87.143545 122.334320 165.341383 215.174172 276.290068
2026-03-15 33.261952 56.103136 85.445555 124.198893 172.478134 229.265178 299.770782
2026-03-22 30.276379 54.127677 85.680891 128.235679 182.102859 246.241925 326.665603
2026-03-29 27.129410 51.544230 84.828367 130.661244 189.584692 260.569886 350.412060
2026-04-05 24.728276 49.744305 84.803401 133.986515 198.081999 276.081629 375.590500
2026-04-12 22.134687 47.351691 83.736757 135.762908 204.496871 288.983762 397.614783
2026-04-19 17.836867 41.763506 77.753489 130.588988 201.693491 290.266271 405.325948
2026-04-26 14.615377 37.533243 73.456017 127.534027 201.570223 294.922864 417.318222
2026-05-03 12.302879 34.534776 70.747059 126.505606 204.001720 302.749075 433.244243
2026-05-10 10.771446 32.735376 69.721513 127.760139 209.430707 314.387700 453.971641
2026-05-17 10.023880 32.341878 70.854373 132.113272 219.071671 331.490682 481.657023
2026-05-24 8.908431 31.037740 70.412219 134.089523 225.437868 344.373772 504.075776
2026-05-31 7.465243 28.783379 68.228323 133.344925 227.964385 352.217718 520.102785
2026-06-07 6.617734 27.695918 67.910239 135.342644 234.271207 365.007346 542.461247
2026-06-14 6.178101 27.496306 69.089780 139.618516 243.792608 382.072100 570.363944
2026-06-21 5.550221 26.718543 69.186650 142.185742 250.891758 395.953552 594.231296
2026-06-28 5.099986 26.313318 69.903962 145.696585 259.331437 411.635996 620.463895
2026-07-05 4.503965 25.391289 69.609175 147.571500 265.416894 424.192303 642.700406